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What is the probability that employees hired on 1 July 2019 will continue to be employed for the duration of the conditional period is 20 per cent.

Asia Pacific Ltd started operating on 1 July 2017 with 12 employees. Three years later all of those
employees were still with the company. On 1 July 2019 the company hired 15 more people but by 30
June 2020 only 10 of those employed at the beginning of that year were still employed by Asia Pacific
Ltd.
All employees are entitled to 13 weeks’ long-service leave after a conditional period of 10 years of
employment with Asia Pacific Ltd.
At 30 June 2020 Asia Pacific Ltd estimates the following:
? The aggregate annual salaries of all employees hired on 1 July 2017 is now $1,200,000.
? The aggregate annual salaries of all current employees hired on 1 July 2019 is now $800,000.
? The probability that employees hired on 1 July 2017 will continue to be employed for the duration
of the conditional period is 40 per cent.
? The probability that employees hired on 1 July 2019 will continue to be employed for the duration
of the conditional period is 20 per cent.
? Salaries are expected to increase indefinitely at 1 per cent per annum.

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