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the cost of average in the newsvendor model

1. Evaluate Brown’s proposal that he should use the holding cost for one unit for the two-week period as the cost of average in the newsvendor model. Calculate this average cost for the Great White SKU.

The holding cost for one unit for two-week period = Cost of average

Holding cost = 25%

Cost/unit = $20

Annual holding cost = 25% of $20 = 0.25 * 20

Annual holding cost = $5 per unit

25 bi-weeks in a year

Cost of Average = $5/25 = $0.2/unit for two-week period.

2. Evaluate Brown’s proposal that he should use the margin on one unit (=retail price – wholesale price) as the cost of underage.

Cost of underage = margin on one unit

Retail price = $21

Wholesale price = $20

Cost of underage = $21 – $20

Cost of Underage = $1

3. Calculate the critical fractile based on the underage and average costs given 1 and 2 above. This gives the optimal in-stock rate for those costs. The corresponding optimal order-up-to point is the smallest order-up-to point that has an in-stock rate equal to or higher than the critical fractile. Use your table of order-up-to points and in-stock rates to find the optimal order-up-to point based on your calculated critical fractile.

Critical Fractile = (cost of underage)/(cost of average + cost of underage)

                        = 1/(0.2 + 1)

Critical Fractile = 0.8333

Optimal Stock Rate = 83.33%

Using Excel sheet for different order up to point = 59 to 63 (Stock rate = 84% > 83.33%)

Decision Variable
Order up to Point 59
Total Results
Total Demand 2012
Total Sales 1905
Average Inventory 39.10
Total Lost Sales (units) 107
Total Gross Profit $1,905
Total Inventory Holding Cost $391.02
Net Profit $1,514
In-Stock Rate 84%
Fill Rate 94.7%
Decision Variable
Order up to Point 60
Total Results
Total Demand 2012
Total Sales 1913
Average Inventory 40.07
Total Lost Sales (units) 99
Total Gross Profit $1,913
Total Inventory Holding Cost $400.74
Net Profit $1,512
In-Stock Rate 84%
Fill Rate 95.1%
Decision Variable
Order up to Point 61
Total Results
Total Demand 2012
Total Sales 1921
Average Inventory 41.05
Total Lost Sales (units) 91
Total Gross Profit $1,927
Total Inventory Holding Cost $410.49
Net Profit $1,511
In-Stock Rate 84%
Fill Rate 95.5%
Decision Variable
Order up to Point 62
Total Results
Total Demand 2012
Total Sales 1929
Average Inventory 42.03
Total Lost Sales (units) 83
Total Gross Profit $1,929
Total Inventory Holding Cost $420.26
Net Profit $1,509
In-Stock Rate 84%
Fill Rate 95.9%
Decision Variable
Order up to Point 63
Total Results
Total Demand 2012
Total Sales 1937
Average Inventory 43
Total Lost Sales (units) 75
Total Gross Profit $1,937
Total Inventory Holding Cost $430.05
Net Profit $1,507
In-Stock Rate 84%
Fill Rate 96.3%

Optimal order up to point (average) = (59+60+61+62+63)/5

Optimal order up to point = 61

Question:

4. The number calculated from 3 does not match the order-up-to point determined in #1 (a-v). Brown wonders if his cost of underage depends on his order-up-to point. Evaluate Brown’s thought that if his order-up-to point is high enough, the cost of underage is close to his margin minus the holding cost, but as his order-up-to point gets lower and lower the cost of underage should get closer to just the margin.

5. Based on 4, the margin calculated in 2 is the maximum value of the cost of underage. Calculate the minimum value of the cost of underage and the corresponding order-up-to point. What is the maximum difference in net profits over the range of order-up-to points from the order point calculated in 3 to the order-up-to point calculated here?

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